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SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN - mbfx forex trading system v2.0

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SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN ~ mbfx forex trading system v2.0




The last 13 Months have proven to be both challenging and rewarding with this new Price Action Swing Trading Methodology. Transitioning from Day Trading to Swing Trading is very difficult especially if you - like myself- have spent most of your trading years glued to the computer screen in search of immediate gains each day, only to be constantly disappointed. Swing Trading solves most of the problems associated with Day Trading and provides a more solid foundation upon which to establish a viable source of Long-Term Wealth.


THE PERFORMANCE

The Trade Setup Service, which was started on July 1, 2014, involves providing detailed trade information on trading opportunities on the Daily and 4 Hour Charts for Subscribers to trade on their personal accounts. Assuming a level of risk of 5% per trade, a Subscriber would now have generated a Rate of Return equivalent to 35%-from 15 Trades. This has come from 9 winning trades and 6 losses.



RATE OF RETURN
JULY 1, 2014 - JULY 23, 2015




At this current rate of growth, this Subscriber would now only need 6 more trades to achieve a remarkable Rate of Return of 100%. 




100% RATE OF RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
         (Assumes an Average Risk & Gain of 105 Pips and 150 Pips, respectively)




By continuing to trade the Currency Markets with this unique Methodology, you too will be able to attain your major Short to Long-Term Monetary Goals. 



THE STRATEGY

FXCM Charts are used to provide the entry signals from the Daily Chart, as this platform uses the New York Close Candle of the Daily Chart - crucial to this Price Action Methodology. Stop Losses range from 90 and 120 Pips, depending on the time frame used, while the targeted Pips Per Trade is between 100 to 200 Pips. Targeting fewer than 100 Pips exposes your trades to the more volatile, lower probability setups while aiming above 200 Pips risks pullbacks that take away your gains.

Trades are usually held for a few days, with the actual number of days depending on the individual trade. This holding period acts as an anchor that controls our greed so that we do not hold out for more than the market is offering. Based on this rule, some of these trades have had to be closed earlier than planned if they had not reached their targets on the last day of the holding period.


THE TRADES 

Following a somewhat shaky start with the initial 100 Pip loss on the AUD USD, the Methodology was able to recover with consistent gains in subsequent months. These included the AUD NZD, the AUD USD and the GBP CAD.



AUD NZD TRADE - 69 PIPS




AUD USD TRADE - 148 PIPS





GBP CAD TRADE - 199 PIPS



The AUD NZD trade was an example of a trade that had to be closed early. The original target of over 100 Pips was expected to be hit within the allotted time, especially since we were breaking out from a Consolidation. However, even though I believed that this was going to go higher, I had to closed the trade in order to comply with my rule. As you can appreciate from that pullback below the Trend Line, this was the correct decision - a difficult one after an initial loss, but a necessary one.

The AUD USD trade was a prime example of the discipline and patience demanded of us in order to be successful Swing Traders. As you can see from the graph, there was a sharp pullback bullish that took the trade right back to the Entry Price just before it U-Turned to hit our target. Had we been constantly monitoring the trade as we used to do as Day Traders, we would have began to panic and second-guess ourselves tempting us to close the trade for a small gain. After all, a small gain is always better than a loss any day of the week. However....

If a trade is going to be successful, it has to be allowed to move according to the natural waves of the market. Ideally, we want our trades to move quickly to our targets - as was the case with the GBP CAD above - but the reality is that the market does not always move on our schedule. In order for winning trades to captured, therefore, we must not interfere with the natural dynamic of the market.

It is for this reason that I have included in the Trade Setup sent to Subscribers, the Guideline of never monitoring a trade while it is in motion.







Configure your trading platform so that you only see that the trade is still open without seeing the actual graph, floating balance or account balance. This is a crucial safeguard required to keep our emotions out of the picture.

As with all strategies, there are periods of losing streaks that have to be faced before we can continue towards our targets. The last three trades have led to losses with the latest one coming from the GBP USD. Although these periods are challenging, they are easier to face and overcome compared to Day Trading. This is because the time in between Swing Trades is sufficient to allow us to objectively analyze these trades and regain our composure and objectivity ahead of the next opportunity.

With Day Trading, we believed we could not afford to sit back because there was always another trade within a few hours that could erase the losing ones and make us "feel better". This left little time to ensure that the next trade was not hastily and emotionally taken in order get quick "revenge" on the market and the brokers.


SUMMARY

If Long-Term Wealth is your goal, then Swing Trading the Currency Market will definitely help you along this journey. We have been made to believe that things need to happen immediately and that waiting patiently for anything is the greatest sin of all. Rome was not built in a day and neither is significant Financial Independence. The Forex Market is a very attractive market to trade but where is stated that the only way to benefit from it is to trade it every day or whenever we want?

By trading only twice per month and thereby minimizing your exposure to this dangerous market, that 35% Return is comparable to most conservative investments instruments. Even if you decided to risk only 2% Per Trade, you would have still earned a significant return of 14%...




RATE OF RETURN AT 2% RISK PER TRADE




In either case, you would be right up there with the best in the industry...











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RATE OF RETURN NOW 13 0 ON SMALL AUD CAD TRADE - forex odyssey trading system

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RATE OF RETURN NOW 13 0 ON SMALL AUD CAD TRADE ~ forex odyssey trading system




This trade was intended to take advantage of a sharp breakout short from a Pennant Consolidation, with the target set for its Breakout Equivalent. All Consolidations have Breakout Equivalents (B.E.) - it is the area that they break towards before pulling back. They will either pause here to then resume the trend or become volatile and reverse. Nevertheless, once spotted and measured accurately, one should either be exiting your trades there (see the AUD USD 148 Pip Trade and the AUD NZD 70 Pip Trade) or avoiding entries at these areas altogether.

In this instance, the pair had already broken out from a previous Range and was now breaking a Pennant. 



DAILY CHART - AUD CAD
(FXCM Charts used for Trade Signals- Dukascopy used for Live Trades)





Based on the way I had originally measured the B.E. for this Range, it would not be hit until a few hundred pips. However after analyzing the chart again for confirmation that my Entry Setup was correct, I realized the error and exited immediately. This provided only a small gain of 9,6 Pips, but was much better than what would have taken place if it was left any longer.


This was the entry setup on the 4 Hour Chart. It required waiting on the market to pullback so that my Stop Loss would have met the criterion in the strategy.


4 HOUR CHART - TRADE SETUP




















Entry then took place as the market pulled back to trigger the entry but shortly after, I realized that this B.E. was actually at the Entry Price of my trade.


DAILY CHART


























Luckily I was able to come out before the rally took place, which would have taken out the Stop Loss.


DAILY CHART- PULLBACK

























Following this trade which pushed the rate of return to 13.0%, my Subscribers are still 9 trades away from a 100% return.




RATE OF RETURN FROM METHODOLOGY




The FXCM Demo Account that you will see in MyFxbook does not reflect this trade. The entry order was not triggered due to the natural differences in prices that takes place across trading platforms.


Mistakes like these are par for the course. Sometimes they lead to large losses, but sometimes you get lucky with only a small loss or gain. It can be very difficult to exit a trade that has the potential for large gains. However, this is perhaps the best trading decision that one will make when large sums of your funds or those of your clients are at stake.





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________________________________________

Duane Shepherd
(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)
Currency Analyst/Trader
Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com
Twitter: @WorldWide876
Facebook: DRFXTRADING
Website: www.drfxswingtrading.com

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108 PIPS FROM AUD CHF RATE OF RETURN NOW 32 - lazy trading forex system

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108 PIPS FROM AUD CHF RATE OF RETURN NOW 32 ~ lazy trading forex system





We took advantage of recent Aussie Dollar strengthen to capture 108 Pips from the AUD CHF last week. This pair was headed to the Resistance of its large Pennant on the Daily Chart, providing a strong Bull Candle Signal to give us this short and quick trading gain. This has now pushed the Rate of Return from the Aggressive Swing Trading Strategies to 32%.




RATE OF RETURN 2016 




Chart and Video below show the setup for this trade. Daily Chart shows the Pennant Setup that had been formed in 2015 and the recent rally at its Support.




DAILY CHART - LARGE PENNANT CONSOLIDATION




VIDEO ANALYSIS OF TRADE SETUP





The Daily Chart provided a strong Bullish Candlestick Signal known as a Morning Star to break the Downtrend Line. This was expected to resume the rally towards the Resistance of Pennant.





DAILY CHART - BULLISH CANDLESTICK SIGNAL





After using the Trade Analysis Sheets from the Trading Manual to confirm the viability of this setup, the 4 Hour Chart - with this Entry Setup sent to Subscribers- was used to execute the trade. 





4 HOUR CHART ENTRY SETUP




After a few days, trade target was hit.





TRADE RESULT, 108 PIPS





TRADE SUMMARY - MYFXBOOK


(https://www.myfxbook.com/portfolio/aggressive-swing-trading/1474786)





VIDEO ANALYSIS OF TRADE





MAIN HIGHLIGHTS OF TRADE
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  • Accurate Analysis of the Market Needed to Spot Profitable Trades;

    • Strong Bullish Candlestick Formations - For Entry Signals and Stop Losses;

      • Breaks of Downtrend Lines;

        • The "Near End Value" of Large Consolidations (See Trading Manual);

        • Swing Trading is the Preferred Way to Trade Successfully;






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        EURO RALLY ECB RATE CUT OR WEEKLY RANGE RULE - simple forex trading system that worked for the last 7 years

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        EURO RALLY ECB RATE CUT OR WEEKLY RANGE RULE ~ simple forex trading system that worked for the last 7 years


        The rally in the Euro against the American Dollar came as a bit of a surprise on Thursday, given the direct relationship between currency demand and domestic interest rates. The increase followed a brief and expected decline after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main lending rate to 0.15% and reduced the rate on bank deposits to -0.1%. However, the very low level of interest rates has led to an increased demand for riskier assets and higher-yielding bonds throughout the region. 

        With international investors seeking to benefit from the expected rise in the prices of these asset classes, the Euro ended the day stronger to eclipse the initial bearish reaction. Despite this being an important factor in the strength of the currency, however, the net gain on the day was due in large part to a major technical factor at work in the Forex market, known as the Weekly Range.


        THE WEEKLY RANGE

        All currency pairs in the Forex market tend to move in waves of uptrends and downtrends with periods of consolidation in between. The recent sharp decline of the EURO USD before the interest rate reaction ended another one of these downtrends, as it moved from a high of 1,4000 on May 8, to settle at 1,3600 before the ECB rate cut. 


        DAILY CHART





















        Source: Dukascopy- Swiss Forex Marketplace


        This decline followed the formation of a pair of Double Tops at the Resistance of a large Pennant, that led to the break of its Support at 1,3686 on May 21.


        DAILY CHART



        Source: Dukascopy - Swiss Forex Marketplace


        The speed of this downtrend combined with the breakout from the Pennant, suggests that strong gains for the Greenback are expected this year. This could take place despite the pause and the rally related to the ECB rate decision. However, based on the Weekly Range rule as applied to the EURO USD, the interruption of this downtrend was always expected by currency traders familiar with this rule.

        The trends experienced by the EURO USD are governed by ranges of 400 Pips. Whenever the currency pair reaches the limit of this range, there is either a brief pause and pullback or a complete reversal of the trend. This also takes place regardless of any short-term news released to the market, but can be accelerated if there is a sharp reaction by traders to such news items. A few examples will serve to illustrate this.

        Prior to the start of the formation of the Pennant, there were two waves of Weekly Range uptrends that occurred between September and October 2013. At the end of the first wave, there was a period of sideways movement in the form of a range that gave way to a breakout long. This then led to the start of the second wave which eventually ended with a reversal and break of the Uptrend Line.


        DAILY CHART





















        Source: Dukascopy - Swiss Forex Marketplace


        This market phenomenon was also evident earlier in that year, with 2 previous waves taking place between July and the end of September. The start and end of the first wave took place on July 22, coinciding with the aggressive demand for the Euro following the release of the latest minutes of the US Federal Open Market Committee. A few days later, the other wave began and lasted a few weeks before ending with a break of the Uptrend Line.


        DAILY CHART





















        Source: Dukascopy-Swiss Forex Marketplace


        Yet another set of examples occurred at the start of that year, when the first trend began on January 10. After reaching its limit only three days later, the currency pair entered a period of consolidation before resuming the uptrend with another Weekly Range. After this 2nd wave ended, the Uptrend Line was finally broken to start this process all over again in a new direction.


        DAILY CHART





















        Source: Dukascopy-Swiss Forex Marketplace

        Many other examples of these Weekly Range patterns abound throughout the history of the EURO USD. Knowledge of these waves helps to identify upcoming trend changes as well as to pinpoint exit points for trades such as in the example above and with the EURO AUD and the GBP JPY in the charts below.


        DAILY CHART - EURO AUD






















        Source: Dukascopy-Swiss Forex Marketplace


        DAILY CHART - GBP JPY






















        Source: Dukascopy- Swiss Forex Marketplace


        It can be a fairly straightforward process to spot and take advantage of the start of a trend. However, the challenge for traders has always been to balance the desire for gains with the need to obey the natural laws of the market. 

        Now, assuming that this rule can be confidently stated as being a necessary condition to spot important exit points, can it also be deemed to be a sufficient condition? Are there any other factors that go into the trade decision that helps to avoid the trap of greed and unexpected, frustrating reversals?

        In these and several other examples across the market, one will notice that some trends can take as little as a day to hit their targets, with others requiring as much as a month. For the Swing traders who use the Daily Chart and the Weekly Range to capture their pip targets, should they hold out for this target regardless of how long it takes? The answer to this question is no. 

        Trading successfully requires the strict adherence to rules of Entry, Stop Losses and Limit Orders. The time that is allocated to a trade must also be objectively determined in order to avoid emotional, incorrect decisions. One should always have the option of exiting a position for a small gain to allow another profitable opportunity on another currency to be traded. But what would this objective time period be and is it consistently applicable to the EURO USD and other currency pairs?

        There is only one way to find out.


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        Duane Shepherd 
        (M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)
        Currency Analyst/Trader
        Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com
        Twitter: @WorldWide876
        Facebook: DRFXTRADING 


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        KIWI DOLLAR LIKELY TO FOLLOW SHARP AUSSIE DECLINE - new forex manual trading system

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        KIWI DOLLAR LIKELY TO FOLLOW SHARP AUSSIE DECLINE ~ new forex manual trading system


        Given the strong positive correlation between the AUD USD and the NZD USD, the NZD USD could resume its bearish trend following the recent decline of the Aussie Dollar by nearly 600 Pips.

        The Aussie Dollar has been steadily declining over the last several days after breaking the Support of the very large Pennant setup.


        DAILY CHART- AUD USD





        In breaking out of this Pennant, the pair broke a smaller Pennant and a Counter Trend Line that tested the Support before starting the breakout.


        DAILY CHART-AUD USD






















        Whenever large Consolidations are being broken, they normally form these smaller setups at Resistance and Support which "test" the strength of these boundaries before breaking out.

        For its part, the Kiwi Dollar has also formed a small Pennant at the Support of its large Pennant as well, but has not yet provided us with a breakout signal.


        DAILY CHART- NZD USD

























        DAILY CHART- NZD USD






















        Although both pairs are highly correlated, without a breakout signal, the Kiwi Dollar is now equally likely to rally back inside of the Pennant as it is to break short. If a breakout short takes place, it would be in sync with the trend on the Aussie Dollar, leading to strong gains for the US Dollar over the next several months. However, a False Breakout Reversal inside could also keep this correlation in tact if it coincides with a temporary pullback in the Aussie Dollar.

        The main reason that the Aussie Dollar trade is on the Demo Account is that the breakout started and continued with Weak Candles. These types of signals tend to be associated with slow breakouts that can provide large trading gains. However, they are also notorious for leading to False Consolidation Breakouts....


        DAILY CHART - NZD USD


















        Once a strong signal is provided in either direction, Live Account trading of this pair is likely to be highly profitable. Distinguishing between these types of candles is therefore very important to avoid False Breakouts and unnecessary losses (Section 8 " Consolidation Trading on the Forex Market").



        ______________________________________________


        RECENT EMAIL FROM CLIENT





        ________________________________________


        ________________________________________

        Duane Shepherd
        (M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)
        Currency Analyst/Trader
        Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com
        Twitter: @WorldWide876
        Facebook: DRFXTRADING
        Website: www.drfxswingtrading.com

        More info for KIWI DOLLAR LIKELY TO FOLLOW SHARP AUSSIE DECLINE ~ new forex manual trading system:
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