255 PIPS ON OFFER FROM NZD CAD THIS WEEK - forex mutant trading system

255 PIPS ON OFFER FROM NZD CAD THIS WEEK ~ forex mutant trading system

A Large Range Setup appears to be forming on the Daily Chart of the NZD CAD that could offer us up to 255 Pips this week. The Support Boundary has already been formed at the 0,8335 area and once we see continued gains for the CAD, this will take us back to Support and complete the Resistance Boundary and the Range.

The overall setup can be seen in the graph below. The pattern of movements that have taken place in the last few months appears to indicate the formation of this large Consolidation in the days ahead.

POSSIBLE RANGE SETUP - DAILY CHART

If the pair continues to decline in the next few days, the Resistance Boundary would be formed at 0,8855 to complement the Support area at 0,8335.

RESISTANCE & SUPPORT BOUNDARIES - DAILY CHART

With a distance of 255 Pips from the current market price to the Support area, Swing Traders could realize a large trading gain once the pair gets going again. This would follow the current sideways movement now taking place on the Daily & 4 Hour Charts.

EXPECTED TRADING GAINS - DAILY CHART

PENNANT SETUP - 4 HOUR CHART

When this downtrend finally resumes, we will actually be continuing the breakout from this Pennant Setup. The Support was initially broken with a Bearish Candle and has been followed by a pull back and U-Turn as the market "tests" the broken Support. Once this is done and we start to see additional bear candles, short positions can be opened as long as our Entry and Stop Loss Placements are correctly done according to the Trade Sheet for Consolidation Breakouts from the Trading Manual...

It is fairly easy for us to spot Consolidation Setups and trade them after they have been formed across all time frames. However, the challenge has always been to spot the signs that they are being formed so that we can quickly adjust our strategies from a Trend Trading one to a Consolidation Trading strategy. 


So how do we trade this?


There are several technical factors in the currency market that tell us when these setups are being formed. Many of them relate to how long a trend has been in place before it begins to move sideways or whether we have recently broken a major Trend Line. These and many other factors that lead to these setups can be found in Section 4 Part 2 of the Manual...

As soon as you spot these factors at work on your charts, you can begin drawing the expected lines of Support and Resistance. Once the distance between these boundaries is far enough to allow for trades of between 100 and 200 Pips - comfortably - strong gains can be had as long as the trade meets the requirements set out in Part 3 of the Manual...

The key is to now wait on the appropriate signal on the Daily Chart to start taking advantage of the move to Support and the breakout from the 4 Hour Chart Pennant.

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MAJOR TREND CHANGE EURO JPY EASY 250 PIPS - mathematical forex trading system review

MAJOR TREND CHANGE EURO JPY EASY 250 PIPS ~ mathematical forex trading system review

The bearish pattern now seen on the EURO JPY as part of a major trend change, could either be one of the largest Bear Crowns you will see in the Forex or a setup for a very large Pennant Consolidation. A small Pennant has just been broken on the Daily Chart that could provide 250- 280 Pips of potential trading gains. However, given the uncertainty of the larger formation taking shape, this might actually be a very risky trade.

The Pennant broken can be seen here along with the potential take profit areas if the breakout takes place. The Breakout Equivalent is the expected target to be hit based on the size of the Pennant, while the Weekly Range is the average distance that this pair moves when it is trending.

DAILY CHART - PENNANT BREAKOUT

DAILY CHART - BREAKOUT TARGETS

On the face of it, this looks like a very straightforward Consolidation Breakout setup with a strong bearish candle signal. If this breakout materializes, the targets would be hit within 3-6 days to give traders a good profit in a market offering very few opportunities. This may even be supported by a very large, though awkward-looking Bear Crown Setup and a movement towards the major Outer Uptrend Line.

DAILY CHART - BEAR CROWN

DAILY CHART - INNER & OUTER TREND LINES

Breaks of Trend Lines that follow the end of a major trend usually lead to movement towards an Outer Trend Line if this exits. However, another look at the setup also gives us the impression that this awkward pattern may actually be a very large Pennant that is being formed. This would mean that a Reversal and False Breakout will actually be the pattern that we actually see that leads to the 2nd Support of this Pennant being formed.

DAILY CHART - CONSOLIDATION ?

This setup actually looks to be the more likely outcome given the unusual pattern of this currency pair. Such large Consolidations also tend to appear when the market is transitioning from the end of a major trend to the start of another.

DAILY CHART- EURO USD

DAILY CHART-  AUD USD

Aggressive traders could take the chance to trade this breakout in case we are wrong about this large Pennant. But given the examples of similar setups across the market, it may be better to forgo this one and wait for another, clearer trade setup.

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Duane Shepherd 

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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DO YOU GET NERVOUS WHEN TRADING - forex manual trading system

DO YOU GET NERVOUS WHEN TRADING ~ forex manual trading system

If so, my advice is to ensure you have a Trading Plan Trade Sheet.

I used to be nervous too especially trading smaller time frames. These move very quickly and the minute you enter a trade, there is a possibility to lose very quickly - not a nice feeling. You get a lot of unnecessary tension and nerves. This is one of the many reasons I and others switched to the larger time frames and Swing Trading.

Nevertheless, whatever time frame you use, get a Trade Sheet that has rules and checklists to justify each trade. I found that whenever I traded without this, I would be unsure if I had taken everything into account before clicking that button. This uncertainty creates anxiety and fear.

If you have a Trade Sheet that you know will provide you with a good trade 80-90% of the time, you will be more confident. It gives you a visual confirmation that you are making the right decision and that everything has been accounted for.

These are examples of the Trade Sheets checklist & Guidelines used for each of the 5 Swing Trading Strategies that we use..

These guide us through all steps involved in the trade - from analysis to the closing of the trading platform as well as while the trade is in motion. 

If you use something like this during your Demo Account phase and the results are good, then just use it on the Live Account and the nerves will fade away. They will be replaced by celebration winning trades.

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DO WE TRADE THIS TEMPTING 70 PIP USD CHF SIGNAL - best forex trading system robot

DO WE TRADE THIS TEMPTING 70 PIP USD CHF SIGNAL ~ best forex trading system robot

Earlier this week, the USD CHF gave us a Bull Candle breakout from the Resistance of its Pennant setup, with the intention of moving towards the Outer Downtrend Line 70 Pips away. While this might appear to be a comfortable trade for those who trade these smaller moves, a closer look at the Daily Chart will reveal why taking this trade may be a risky move.

As you can see from the charts, the currency pair has already broken the Inner Downtrend Line of the strong Downtrend with the aid of a pair of Double Bottoms. With setups such as these, there is always a tendency to move to the Outer Trend Line after a very long trend has ended. 

DAILY CHART - BREAKOUT SIGNAL

DAILY CHART - INNER & OUTER TREND LINES

DAILY CHART- POTENTIAL 70-PIP MOVE

A key aspect of trading Breakouts is that the Candlestick Signal must be strong. This signal provided here is too weak to justify entry and could lead to an unexpected reversal or a very erratic move to that Outer Trend Line. Weak Consolidations and/or Breakout Signals are two notorious reasons that False Breakouts take place. In the chart below, we can see that the candle to the left was a much stronger one and is that type of signal that we look for when trading breakouts.

DAILY CHART- BREAKOUT CANDLES

One possibility that could unfold in these situations is that a stronger Bull Candle appears above this weaker one. In general, when this occurs with Consolidation Breakouts, the trade can be taken at that 2nd candle. However, in this particular situation, the gap with the Outer Trend Line would become smaller, reducing the profitability of the trade even further.  Also, in some cases, the market may actually come close to the Outer Trend Line without actually hitting it. It can then either U-Turn to resume the previous trend or consolidate for a long time. 

If a move does take place it could still be a very good trade for Day Traders, but perhaps too small for Swing Traders.

Let´s see what unfolds in the days ahead.

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Duane Shepherd 

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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