70 PIP TRADE DAY TRADING STRESS VS SWING TRADING BLISS ~ forex turtle trading system pdf
The recent 70-Pip trade made on the AUD NZD highlighted the main challenges faced by the typical Day Traders using the Lower Time Frames. This trade required entry at the Bullish Candle Signal that started a breakout from a Range and a large Pennant Consolidation on the Daily Chart. However, Day Traders would have encountered a more volatile picture on the smaller charts that would have severely limited their profitability during this Bullish breakout.
The charts below show the breakout that started the trend that provided the trading gain. Entry took place immediately at the close of the Bull Candle with the Stop Loss and Profit Targets set according to the rules of the strategy.
DAILY CHART - SIGNAL
DAILY CHART - TRADE RESULT
This was a simultaneous breakout from a large Pennant Consolidation and a Range setup at its Resistance. DAILY CHART- TRADE SETUP
In contrast to this fairly straightforward setup, many Day-Traders on the 30 Minute Chart would have faced a more challenging scenario. As we can see in the chart below, the Bullish Candle on the Daily Chart was actually formed by a Range breakout on the 30 Minute Chart.
30 MINUTE CHART
Many Day Traders would have avoided entry here, however, given the size and volatile nature of the candle. The large wick on that candle would also have suggested the end of the breakout, while the subsequent reversal and sideways pattern limited any possibility of a profitable trade.
Nevertheless, a trading possibility eventually appeared on this time frame in the form of another Consolidation breakout.
30 MINUTE CHART- PENNANT TRADE
Entry could have taken place at the Bullish Candle that broke Resistance with the Stop Loss at the Support area. Unfortunately, the breakout for this would have been limited to only 15 Pips ahead of the reversal a few hours later. For scalpers, this 15-Pip gain would have been a good trade, but for others holding out for more, breaking even or incurring a small loss would have been the result. Yet for others who may have held out in hopes of a turnaround, a total loss on the trade would have been suffered.
Following this period, the currency began to move sideways in a volatile pattern, offering very little in the way of tradeable setups.
30 MINUTE CHART - VOLATILITY
Those aiming for small Pips may have been able to scrape out a few more to add on to the 15 Pips. However, the sharp reversals and spikes would have made this a very stressful, losing endeavor. Others aiming for more would also have been left without any opportunity to compensate for the previous losses.
The results from this type of trading over the long-run are often lower than expectations despite the attraction of the smaller charts. The greater volatility and the need to continuously monitor the market at all hours of the day can take their toll on a trader. For Swing Traders on the other hand, only a few hours are spent trading and analyzing the market prior to entry. Instead of aggressively battling a large number of candles at a time, only a few candles stand in the way between entry and profitability.
DAILY CHART - STRESS FREE TRADING
Trading can be a lot more enjoyable and profitable than what many are led to believe. If this is done using the higher time frames that reward the trader rather than the smaller time frames that reward the broker, long-term gains will be made.Spikes that come out of no where to take out our Stop Losses and unexplained pullbacks that reduce our profits can all be avoided.
By using my Methodology and emailing the Code at the end of the Manual and you will also benefit from;
Detailed Trade Setups sent 30 Minutes before Entry;
Daily Analysis of Currency Pairs;
Weekly Technical Analysis on Specific Topics;
A Currency Trading Experience focused entirely on Making Money;
Swing Trading vs Day Trading Has the Debate Ended ~ omni forex trading system review
Within the context of the ongoing debate between Swing Trading and Day Trading, these early results from my Methodology appear to tip scale decisively towards Swing Trading. Only 7 trades have been done so far and to date, the results have already beaten the Year-to-Date returns of 80% of the Top Traders Ranked by BarclayHedge. With only 9 trades left for this strategy to generate a 100% return for my clients (sadly, cost of Manual will go up accordingly- see Table), Day Trading may soon by a thing of the past as you spend less time trading and more time earning.
Currency Trading can be a very lucrative means of earning income on a short and long-term basis. The most popular way of doing this by traders has been to profit from the intra-day changes in a currency’s value, during the most liquid trading sessions of the day. However, given the difficulty of consistently modelling the random price behaviour of a financial asset class at this micro level, sustainable success from this approach can be an elusive goal. Instead, if traders focused on the clearer trends provided by the Larger Time Frames, they can achieve of more consistent rate of success.
Swing Trading takes advantage of the clearer and more reliable breakout signals and trends of the Daily and 4 Hour Charts. It is a style of trading that is similar to Long-Term Trend trading in which positions are taken based on the longer-term fundamental value of a currency. However, given the time horizon of Swing Trades - 2 to 7 days- some of these trades will either be in line with that value or diverge from it in the short-term.
Among the benefits of Swing Trading are;
Stronger Trends with Larger Pips per Trade;
Accuracy of Signals, with fewer False Breakouts;
Predictable Times for Analysis and Trade Execution;
Fewer Trades needed for Large Rates of Return;
Compatibility with a non-Forex 9-5 Schedule;
This style of trading also allows traders to sidestep the volatility surrounding the release of macroeconomic data each week. Several important reports related to the major currencies can provide an indication about market direction during the day. Nevertheless, due to the subjective and conflicting interpretation of these by traders, large spikes in prices tend to appear, taking out small Stop Losses and eroding the Day Trader’s profitability.
In addition to the significant personal benefits, Retail Traders will also be better able to offer their services to Prop Trading houses and Hedge Funds that want this style of trading - earning very large commissions in the process. Based on these early results...
148 PIPS AUD USD 2 WEEKS 2 TRADES 218 PIPS ~ fibonacci forex trading system pdf
This latest trade based on our Price Action, Swing Trading Methodology provided 148 Pips on the Aussie Dollar over a short 4-day period. This took our total gain to 218 Pips in 2 weeks following the 70-Pip trade on the AUD NZD pair at the start of the month. At this rate, we could see a triple digit rate of return for 2014 when these results are combined with previous setups identified by the Methodology. It would also provide further evidence of the stability and higher returns that are possible when trading is done on the Larger Time Frames.
The AUD NZD gain took place following a break of a large Consolidation setup on the Daily Chart. The signal to enter came from a Bullish Candle break of a Range at the Resistance of this large Pennant.
AUD NZD -DAILY CHART SETUP
AUD NZD- DAILY CHART SIGNAL
TRADE RESULT - LIVE ACCOUNT
The chart patterns and candles from FXCM are used to identify the entry signals while the Dukascopy platform is used for trades on the Live Account. The Methodology utilizes the New York Candle close of the Daily Chart as the basis for the Price Action strategy, which is best provided by FXCM.
The AUD NZD was one of the last pairs that saw gains for the Aussie dollar this month. Since then, the currency began to lose value against several of the other major currencies over the last few days. It was within this context that the AUD USD trade opportunity presented itself on Thursday September 11, 2014.
The setup was a bearish break of a large Pennant formed between April and September this year.
AUD USD - DAILY CHART PENNANT
The size of the Consolidation suggested that a breakout could continue for several hundred pips in favour of the US Dollar in the months ahead. However, based on our strategy and a specific technical aspect of this setup, a short-term gain of between 100 and 200 Pips was the more prudent decision.
Entry took place at the third candle that broke the Consolidation with the target set based on the criteria established for this type of breakout. The Stop Loss was also placed at a strategy-determined area to prevent the trade from being affected by spikes along the way.
DAILY CHART TRADE SETUP
After only a few days, the target was hit. Towards the end of the trend, the market actually reversed to the entry price with a Bullish Candlestick Formation. However, a large Bearish Candle shortly followed to take out that attempted reversal and give us our reward.
TRADE RESULT
LIVE ACCOUNT RESULT
TRADE SUMMARY
TRADE TYPE
CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT
STOP LOSS
116 PIPS
TRADE RESULT
148 PIPS
TIME TO TARGET
4 DAYS
This trend was always expected to provide large gains for the trader in a short time since breakouts from Consolidations always produce sharp movements. In fact, it only took 2 days for the 100-Pip mark to be reached.
DAILY CHART -100 PIPS IN 2 DAYS
Nevertheless, if the trader was looking at the Pip count or the Account Balance on their trading platform, chances are he/she would have started to panic and exit at the start of the bullish reversal to the entry price. If trading was also being done on the 30 Minute Chart, that sharp bullish signal combined with the Trend Line break and the Double Bottoms may have even convinced the trader to start going Long.
30 MINUTE CHART- REVERSAL SIGNALS
The net result would have been a much smaller profit compared to that which was offered by the market. Constantly monitoring the trade and using the Smaller Time Frames will always tempt us to make decisions based on emotions and our ego despite our best intentions. Trades that are objectively analyzed and executed can be easily sabotaged by the desire to always know what is happening with the trade.
Nevertheless, this habit is understandable and expected especially if you are transitioning to the Larger Time Frames. Most of us have been taught by trading companies and brokers to trade in a way that requires us to develop this and other bad habits. We have been led to believe that trading has to be done every hour and every day in order to be profitable. This frame of mind will always lead to certain practices that generate an impatient temperament in us and cause us to constantly make unwise trade decisions. The best thing to do is to persist until these habits are no longer a part of your trading.
Alternately, one could open up a separate Demo Account, practice trading on the Daily and 4 Hour Charts and compare the results with an existing strategy on the lower charts. Over time, you will see the large difference in profitability and appreciate how unnecessary it is to monitor the trade. This can be done using the detailed Trade Setups that are emailed to you as a Subscriber.
TRADE SETUP- AUD USD
PAIR
AUD USD
TRADE TYPE
CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT
ENTRY DATE
TODAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2014
ENTRY TIME
21 00 GMT
ENTRY PRICE (MINIMUM)
0,9096
STOP LOSS
0,9216
LIMIT ORDER
0,8952
More info for 148 PIPS AUD USD 2 WEEKS 2 TRADES 218 PIPS ~ fibonacci forex trading system pdf:
Josh Brolin on day trading ~ forex trading system for daily charts
Actor Josh Brolin ("Milk", "W", "No Country for Old Man") said on Charlie Rose that his trading portfolio had a 57% return this year. His strategy is based on entering on reversal from a trend. Sounds pretty reasonable to me: maybe some of our readers can backtest this.
Below is the full interview, beginning with Sean Penn, then goes on to Gus Van Sant, then finally Josh Brolin mentioned his day-trading at the very end of the 1 hour show.
Interested? He is starting a multi-million dollar hedge fund to manage your money. More info for Josh Brolin on day trading ~ forex trading system for daily charts:
74 PIPS FROM EURO CAD PROVIDES A 27 RETURN AND 567 PIPS FROM 9 TRADES ~ forex never lose trading system
EURO CAD provided us with a smaller-than-expected but positive result on Tuesday, due to the lower liquidity conditions of the Christmas Holidays. Our original target of 150 Pips could not be met under these circumstances, requiring us to exit for 74 Pips at the end of our specified Holding Period. Nevertheless, the strong gain had a significant influence on our overall Rate of Return, which now stands at 27.4% since July of this year. With over 500 Pips from only 9 trades, we are only 3 trades away from the 1000 Pip mark and a 50% Rate of Return. After meeting this short-term target, we would then need only 4 more trades for a remarkable return of 100%. This pair began to decline following a False Breakout Reversal at the Resistance of the Range on the Daily Chart. As with all False Breakouts, a move to the end of the boundary was expected.
DAILY CHART
FXCM used for Entry Signal based on the New York Close Candle
The move was also taking place within a Downtrend that started with the break of the Trend Lines of the previous Uptrend.
DAILY CHART
The signal that we used to confirm that this trade should be taken was the 2nd bearish candle as it was deemed to be a Normal Candle- the Candle that we obey for our entries (Section 8 -“Consolidation Trading on the Forex Market - A Complete Trading System”). After determining that it met our criteria for trading within Consolidations, our Entry Setup was done on the 4 Hour Chart...
4 HOUR CHART
An Entry Order was used in this trade as a Market Order would have required a Stop Loss that exceeded our maximum of 90 Pips for entry based on the 4 Hour Chart. After pulling back to trigger our trade, the market then meandered sideways over the next few days. With trading activity and liquidity limited, we exited for the 74-Pip gain at the end of our Pre-Determined Holding period.
DAILY CHART - LIVE ACCOUNT RESULT
Dukascopy used for Live Trades
With this latest trade, our Rate of Return table is now closer to the mid-way point of our Medium Term goal of 100%.
RATE OF RETURN FROM METHODOLOGY
5% Risk Per Trade, 100-200 Pips Target per Trade; No Trading done in August
Summarizing these results, an average of 63 Pips have been made on each trade, supported by a fairly high rate of success.
SUMMARY OF RESULTS
These gains were due in large part to the last 8 trades, which steadily made up for the initial loss of 100 Pips that may have shocked my early Subscribers!!
SUMMARY OF RESULTS
The Demo Account which tracks the Live Account trades was not to be left out. The trade pushed the Return to 22% after only 5 trades.
DAILY CHART
DEMO ACCOUNT RESULT
Having started in October, the results on this Account are equally encouraging (verified at Myfxbook http://www.myfxbook.com/members/DRFXTRADING/duane/1079693)
RATE OF RETURN - FXCM DEMO ACCOUNT
SUMMARY OF RESULTS
The results from the Methodology at this stage bode well for what is possible within a few months time. By only targeting the highest paying opportunities that have a high probability of success each month, your chances of steady, long-term gains with limited draw-down are greatly enhanced. Nevertheless, given the inevitability of losses, we always need to remain confident in our strategy despite setbacks along the way.Once you have tested your strategy successfully on a Demo Account over a reasonable period of time (at least 6 Months), you can be more assured that the gains will outnumber losses by a reasonable margin. This will allow you to achieve strong Rates of Return over the Long-Term, with fewer losses.
